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February 25, 2025 in Forex News

EUR/USD Forecast: Trend Reversal or Further Decline

EURUSD_D1_Daily_Technical_analysis_and_Price_Action_on_02_25_2025
EURUSD_D1_Daily_Technical_analysis_and_Price_Action_on_02_25_2025

Introduction to EUR/USD

The EUR USD pair, often referred to as “Fiber,” represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. It is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market due to its high liquidity and economic significance. Traders closely watch this pair as it reflects the relative strength of the European and US economies.

EUR/USD Market Overview

EURUSD has recently been experiencing a consolidation phase after a prolonged bearish trend. The pair struggled to break above key resistance levels amid mixed economic data from the US and the Eurozone. Recent news highlights that investors are awaiting further signals from the Federal Reserve regarding potential interest rate adjustments. Additionally, the European Central Bank (ECB) remains cautious about inflation and economic growth, which adds to the uncertainty in the pair’s movement. Market participants are keeping an eye on upcoming US GDP data and inflation figures, which could drive further volatility in the EUR/USD price action.

EURUSD_D1_Daily_Technical_analysis_and_Price_Action_on_02_25_2025

EUR-USD Technical Analysis

The daily chart indicates that EUR/USD is testing a crucial resistance level at 1.0631 after breaking a descending trendline. The Bollinger Bands show that the price is currently at the upper band, suggesting possible overbought conditions. Meanwhile, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0448 is acting as dynamic support. The MACD indicator is showing signs of bullish momentum, with the histogram printing green bars and the MACD line crossing above the signal line. Additionally, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) remains in positive territory, indicating a shift in momentum. However, failure to break the resistance level could result in a short-term retracement.

Final Words about EUR vs USD

Given the current technical and fundamental outlook, EUR/USD remains at a pivotal level. A successful breakout above 1.0631 could lead to further upside potential, targeting the next resistance at 1.0700. On the other hand, failure to sustain above this level might push the pair back towards support at 1.0464. Traders should closely monitor key economic releases from the US and the Eurozone, as they will likely influence the pair’s next major move. As always, risk management remains essential in the highly volatile forex market.