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December 4, 2025 in Forex News

GBP/USD Forecast: Testing Long-term Bullish Trend Strength

GBPUSD Price Action Analysis 12.04.2025.featured image
GBPUSD Price Action Analysis 12.04.2025.featured image

Introduction to GBP/USD

The GBP USD pair, known among traders as “Cable,” represents the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling (GBP) and the United States Dollar (USD). This currency pair is highly traded in the forex market, making it an important indicator of global economic conditions. Understanding the movements in Cable is crucial for traders and investors due to the significant influence of these two economies on global finance and trade.

GBP-USD Market Overview

The GBPUSD pair is currently experiencing a bearish correction channel amid mixed economic signals from both economies. Recently, the US Department of Labor released data showing a stable job market, with unemployment claims influencing the USD positively. Additionally, comments from Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman, expected to reflect a more hawkish stance, could bolster the USD. In the UK, the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) from S&P Global and remarks from Bank of England MPC member Catherine Mann on geopolitical tensions regarding Ukraine may affect Sterling’s strength. Traders should monitor these economic releases and speeches closely, as they can significantly impact short-term volatility and directional bias.

GBPUSD Price Action Analysis 12.04.2025

GBP USD Technical Analysis

Analyzing the daily chart, GBP-USD remains bullish in the long term but currently trades within a downward-sloping corrective channel approaching a significant trend line. Price action is gravitating towards this trend line, indicating potential testing shortly. The Keltner Channel levels at 1.33069 (upper), 1.32338 (middle), and 1.31606 (lower) suggest that the current price level is slightly above the middle band, indicating moderate bullish sentiment. The Fisher indicator shows positive values of 2.37 and 2.01, signaling upward momentum, while the Chaikin Oscillator at 44.457K indicates buying pressure remains robust. Nevertheless, immediate resistance near the channel boundary could cap further upside moves temporarily.

Final Words About GBP vs USD

The GBP/USD pair appears likely to remain in its corrective channel, cautiously testing resistance levels as traders await further economic signals from both the UK and the US. Upcoming releases and central bank statements will be pivotal, potentially influencing the direction significantly. Traders should prepare for volatility around these announcements, adopting strategies that leverage price movements towards support and resistance lines within the established channel. Given the current technical indicators, gradual bullish sentiment remains probable, though traders should remain vigilant about potential reversals.

Disclaimer: This GBPUSD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.