Post Details

October 16, 2025 in Forex News

EUR/GBP D1 Analysis: Bulls Retain Edge

EURGBP Price Action Analysis 10.16.2025. Featured image
EURGBP Price Action Analysis 10.16.2025. Featured image

Introduction to EURGBP

The Euro/British Pound (often written as EUR/GBP and nicknamed “Chunnel”) tracks how the common currency trades against the UK’s pound sterling. This cross is a favorite for European session traders because it reacts quickly to Bank of England and European Central Bank headlines. Liquidity is deep and spreads are tight, making Euro/British Pound attractive for swing and position trading on the daily chart. Understanding this pair’s macro drivers and technical structure is essential for building a consistent Euro to British Pound trading strategy.

EUR/GBP Market Overview

The broader Euro/British Pound trend on the daily chart remains constructively bullish, with price respecting an ascending channel into mid-October. Near-term focus is on UK central bank communication: Bank of England MPC member Catherine Mann speaks on Oct 16, followed by Megan Greene on Oct 17, events that can shift rate-path expectations and pound volatility. On the euro side, ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks on Oct 18, a fixture that often sparks repricing of ECB policy expectations and, by extension, euro flows. Looking ahead, November brings a cluster of UK macro releases—GDP, Services GVA, Industrial and Manufacturing Production, Construction Output, and the Visible Trade Balance—all due Nov 13, which historically move sterling if surprises hit. For the euro bloc, Eurostat’s Trade Balance and Italy’s Istat Trade Balance arrive Nov 14, while Italy’s Treasury holds a medium/long-dated bond auction Nov 3, each influencing euro yields and demand. In short, policy guidance this week and hard data next month are the catalysts to watch for the Euro/British Pound daily forecast.

EURGBP Price Action Analysis 10.16.2025

EUR-GBP Technical Analysis

The candles continue to track a rising channel, with occasional failed breakouts that reinforce trend integrity. Currently, price action is hovering between the middle and upper channel bands, suggesting a modestly bullish bias while momentum cools. Keltner Channel (20, ATR): Upper 0.87230, Middle 0.86937, Lower 0.86645. The Fisher Transform prints −0.28 versus a −0.27 trigger, a near-flat negative reading that implies momentum is pausing rather than reversing. The Accelerator Oscillator is −0.00008, a tiny negative that flags waning acceleration but not decisive bearish control. Immediate resistance is 0.87230 (Keltner upper band), then 0.8750/0.8775 at the channel ceiling; support sits at 0.8694 (Keltner mid-line), 0.8665 (Keltner lower band), and 0.8640 near rising channel support. As long as daily closes hold above 0.8690–0.8700, the upper band/0.8723 remains a realistic upside target; a daily close below 0.8665 would warn of a deeper pullback toward the channel base.

Final words about EUR vs GBP

The Euro/British Pound daily outlook stays cautiously bullish while the price respects its ascending channel and holds above the Keltner mid-line. Buyers will look for continuation signals on a sustained push through 0.8723, opening 0.8750–0.8775 and potentially fresh yearly highs if momentum re-accelerates. Sellers, by contrast, need a decisive daily close below 0.8665 to argue for a deeper mean-reversion leg toward 0.8640 and the channel floor. With BoE speeches (Oct 16–17) and ECB communication (Oct 18) on deck, headline risk is elevated—keep position sizing disciplined and consider protective stops beneath nearby support. Into November’s heavy data slate for the UK and euro area, expect volatility expansion; trade the levels, respect the channel, and let the calendar drive your risk management.

Disclaimer: This EURGBP analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.