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December 22, 2025 in Forex News

Technical Analysis: USD/CAD Set for Further Declines

USDCAD Price Action Analysis 12.22.2025.featured image
USDCAD Price Action Analysis 12.22.2025.featured image

Introduction to USDCAD

The USD CAD currency pair, popularly known as the “Loonie,” measures the value of the United States Dollar against the Canadian Dollar. Known for its sensitivity to commodity prices, especially oil, this pair is heavily traded in the Forex market. Traders closely monitor USD/CAD movements as it reflects both countries’ economic health and is influenced by major economic news and events.

USD/CAD Market Overview

USDCAD currently reflects a bearish outlook influenced by recent Canadian economic indicators. Canada’s Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) and Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI), set for release on January 21, 2026, are critical indicators for CAD strength. Higher-than-expected figures typically boost the Canadian Dollar as they signal rising inflationary pressures passed onto consumers. Traders are closely monitoring these releases since they directly impact inflation expectations, influencing the central bank’s monetary policy stance. Current market anticipation suggests a potential strengthening of the CAD if upcoming data exceeds forecasts.

USD CAD Technical Analysis

Analyzing the USD/CAD daily chart indicates the onset of a bearish trend with significant downward momentum after a bullish correction. Price action has currently stalled at the Fibonacci extension level of 0.382 (around 1.37560), signaling potential resistance at this mark. Given the prevailing bearish sentiment, it’s unlikely the pair will create a higher high, making subsequent Fibonacci retracement levels key targets for traders. Keltner Channels indicate short-term resistance at 1.39230, 1.38691, and 1.38152, reinforcing bearish conditions. The Accelerator Oscillator at 0.00089 remains neutral but leaning bearish, while the Aroon indicator with values at 7.14% (up) and 71.43% (down) underscores a robust bearish dominance.

Final Words about USD vs CAD

Overall, USD/CAD is currently navigating a bearish phase with technical indicators pointing towards further downside. Traders should pay close attention to the forthcoming Canadian economic indicators, as robust numbers could enhance bearish sentiment further, strengthening CAD against the USD. Caution is advised as technical support and resistance levels may drive significant short-term volatility. Staying abreast of market-moving data releases and applying rigorous risk management strategies is essential for navigating this pair effectively.

Disclaimer: This USDCAD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.