Post Details

August 18, 2025 in Forex News

EURJPY Trend, Momentum, and Trade Ideas Today

EURJPY_Approaches_Key_Resistance_Amid_Bullish_Momentum_8_18_2025-Featured
EURJPY_Approaches_Key_Resistance_Amid_Bullish_Momentum_8_18_2025-Featured

Introduction to EUR/JPY

The EURJPY pair (Euro vs Japanese Yen), often called “Euro-Yen” or referenced by its ticker EURJPY, is a widely followed FX cross that blends Eurozone macro dynamics with Japanese safe-haven flows. This currency pair is a popular barometer for global risk sentiment because it links the euro — sensitive to European growth and ECB policy — with the yen, which reacts strongly to risk aversion and BoJ policy shifts. Traders use EUR/JPY for directional plays, carry trades and macro hedges across emerging risk cycles. Daily monitoring of EUR/JPY technicals and macro releases is essential for precision entry and risk management in forex trading.

EURJPY Market Overview

On the daily chart EUR JPY is in a clear uptrend, with price making higher highs and higher lows as global risk appetite has supported cyclicals and the euro. Over the past two days the pair attempted a breakout toward the previous high near ~175.5 but the first attempt failed and pulled back briefly; however, buying pressure has returned and the market is attempting another run at that key resistance. From a macro perspective, the near-term news calendar for EUR/JPY is light but important: Eurostat’s trade balance (seasonally adjusted) can be currency-positive if ‘Actual’ prints above Forecast, while Japan’s METI business services spending is a leading indicator for corporate activity and JPY strength if it surprises to the upside. Because both releases tend to have muted-to-moderate impact, traders are watching risk sentiment, yield differentials and any ECB/BoJ comments that could amplify moves. Overall, the combination of improving momentum and a string of higher closes suggests bulls retain control in the short term, but a confirmed daily close above 175.5 is needed to validate the next leg higher.

EURJPY_Approaches_Key_Resistance_Amid_Bullish_Momentum_8_18_2025

EUR-JPY Technical Analysis

On the daily timeframe EUR/JPY remains bullish and is currently challenging a multi-month resistance area: the prior swing high around 175.5 is the immediate obstacle for trend continuation. The chart also shows Fibonacci retracement zones from the last major swing, with 0.236 at ~161.16 and 0.382 at ~152.26 that acted as prior consolidation/support areas; price has cleared those zones and is trading well above them, confirming the medium-term uptrend. Momentum readings are supportive: the momentum oscillator sits at 2.337 (strengthening from the first breakout attempt) and the RSI is 57.54, indicating bullish bias but not yet overbought — giving room for more upside before typical RSI overbought thresholds. A rising dashed trendline underpins recent price action, and immediate support levels to watch are the psychological 170.00 area and the trendline confluence; failure below these could open a retest of the 161.16 Fibonacci level. Traders should look for a decisive daily close above 175.5 with expanding momentum as a breakout signal — alternatively, rejection there with bearish divergence or a close back below 170 would increase the odds of a deeper pullback into the Fib zone.

Final words about EUR vs JPY

EURJPY’s daily picture favors the bulls, but the pair is at a technical crossroads where a confirmed breakout or a clear rejection will define the next directional opportunity. If EUR/JPY closes convincingly above 175.5 with continued momentum and RSI staying elevated, the next targets are the 178.00–180.00 area and then extension toward higher round levels; traders can consider trend-following entries on breakout retests with stops beneath the breakout candles. Conversely, failure at resistance or signs of momentum fading would warrant caution and could lead to a decline toward 170 and the 161.16 Fibonacci support, where buyers previously stepped in. Keep a close eye on Eurostat trade balance and METI services-spending releases for short-term volatility, plus any ECB/BoJ commentary or global risk events that can quickly flip yen flows. As always, combine technical confirmation with disciplined risk management — position size, stop placement, and a clear plan are essential when trading EUR/JPY on the daily chart.

Disclaimer: This EURJPY analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.