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July 31, 2025 in Forex News

BTC/USD Price Action: Bulls Hold Ground, But Warning Signs Appear

BTCUSD_DAILY_1D_Analysis_and_Price_Action_on_07_31_2025-Featured
BTCUSD_DAILY_1D_Analysis_and_Price_Action_on_07_31_2025-Featured

Introduction to BTCUSD

The BTC/USD pair represents the value of Bitcoin against the US dollar, commonly known as the “digital gold” pairing. Bitcoin, being the world’s premier cryptocurrency, is highly sensitive to global economic events, regulatory changes, and market sentiment. Tracking BTC/USD closely helps traders and investors capture profitable opportunities and manage potential risks associated with cryptocurrency trading.

BTC-USD Market Overview

Currently, BTCUSD is exhibiting bullish momentum, supported by broader economic indicators from the United States. Recent data releases indicate stable employment conditions, reflected by job cut announcements and initial jobless claims remaining relatively balanced. Additionally, core inflation measured by Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) suggests moderate consumer price stability. Income levels and consumer spending data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis indicate that disposable personal income remains healthy, boosting the US dollar’s strength and potentially impacting BTC’s valuation. Moreover, Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data from Chicago reflects a generally optimistic business outlook, contributing to positive sentiment towards USD. Traders should monitor upcoming data closely, especially consumer expenditure and inflation-related releases, as they significantly influence BTC/USD dynamics.

BTC/USD Technical Analysis

Analyzing the BTC-USD daily chart, the pair is currently maintaining an upward trajectory, respecting a clear ascending support line. However, recent price action shows BTC repeatedly testing and approaching this support line more frequently, signaling potential weakening bullish momentum. If BTC/USD breaches this critical support line, a notable pullback towards the key support level at around 109510.22 is anticipated as this zone had been tested many times earlier. Conversely, bullish traders might exploit the current classic flag pattern formed, potentially propelling the pair towards the resistance zone around 130348.33. Indicators such as the Price Channel confirm the bullish sentiment with candles trading above the central price line. However, caution is advised as the Accelerator Oscillator is currently negative, at the −955.70 level, and the Fisher indicator is also bearish, indicating the fisher line at -0.05 and the trigger line at -0.02.

Final Words about BTC vs USD

BTCUSD is currently at a critical juncture, reflecting bullish sentiment tempered by signs of momentum weakness. Traders must closely observe support and resistance levels for clear breakout or reversal signals. Upcoming economic indicators from the US, especially related to employment, inflation, and consumer spending, will significantly influence market direction. Given cryptocurrency’s inherent volatility, maintaining stringent risk management strategies and continuous monitoring of technical indicators is essential. The next trading sessions will be pivotal in determining BTC/USD’s short-term trajectory.