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July 11, 2025 in Forex News

Forex Alert: USD/CAD Approaching Critical Decision Point

USDCAD_DAILY_1D_Analysis_and_Price_Action_on_07_11_2025-F
USDCAD_DAILY_1D_Analysis_and_Price_Action_on_07_11_2025-F

Introduction to USDCAD

The USD-CAD pair, also known as the “Loonie,” compares the value of the US Dollar to the Canadian Dollar. This pair is widely traded due to significant trade flows between the United States and Canada. Forex traders frequently analyze USDCAD for opportunities driven by shifts in commodity prices, particularly oil, given Canada’s reliance on energy exports.

USD CAD Market Overview

The USD/CAD currency pair is currently experiencing a downtrend correction despite maintaining an overall long-term upward trajectory. Recently, economic data from the US Department of the Treasury indicated the budget balance will influence the USD’s short-term strength. On the Canadian side, employment data from Statistics Canada will significantly impact the CAD. Positive employment changes and a reduced unemployment rate typically bolster the Canadian Dollar, possibly counteracting USD strength. Additionally, new building permit data, set for release shortly, will provide further insight into Canada’s economic health, influencing traders’ decisions on the USDCAD pair in the coming days.

USDCAD_DAILY_1D_Analysis_and_Price_Action_on_07_11_2025

USD-CAD Technical Analysis

On the daily chart, USDCAD is showing signs of correction within its broader bullish trend. After bouncing from its support level at approximately 1.35730, the pair managed to break the initial descending resistance line. However, it is currently struggling with a secondary resistance line, a crucial technical area for determining future price direction. The Bollinger Bands suggest price equilibrium, with the currency pair hovering around the middle band. The Awesome Oscillator indicates slight bearish momentum, whereas the StochRSI oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting potential downside pressure in the near term if the current resistance is not overcome.

Final Words about USD vs CAD

Considering the present technical and fundamental signals, USD/CAD traders should cautiously monitor the immediate resistance levels. The current correction within the long-term bullish trend could be temporary, but it warrants close observation. Upcoming economic data from both the US and Canada, including job statistics and building permits, will likely create volatility, offering opportunities for traders. Effective risk management and vigilance toward significant economic announcements are recommended due to potential rapid market shifts.