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Introduction to AUD/USD

AUD/USD, commonly referred to as the “Aussie,” represents how many US dollars one Australian dollar can buy. This currency pair is popular among traders because it often reacts strongly to both US and Australian economic news. Its volatility can offer significant trading opportunities, especially around major releases such as interest rate decisions and employment data.

AUDUSD Market Overview

Over the past couple of days, AUD USD has shown substantial volatility, partly in response to multiple high-impact releases from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Federal Reserve. Inflation data (both core and general CPI) remain key focal points, with the next release scheduled for May 13, 2025, potentially influencing the US dollar’s strength. Meanwhile, upcoming comments from several Federal Reserve officials are keeping traders on edge, as each speech may hint at future monetary policy shifts. On the Australian side, the Melbourne Institute’s consumer inflation expectations and an upcoming speech by RBA Governor Michele Bullock are drawing attention to inflation outlooks and interest rate decisions. These combined factors have left the Aussie under pressure, but with occasional rebounds fueled by market optimism and repositioning.

AUD-USD Technical Analysis

On the daily (D1) chart, the Alligator indicator shows the blue jaw at the top, followed by the red teeth and green lips—signifying that the broader trend has been bearish. However, the latest bullish candlestick indicates a corrective bounce, partially retracing recent losses. The Williams %R has edged upward from oversold territory, suggesting a short-term rebound may continue. The MACD histogram is still negative but appears to be losing downward momentum, hinting that a bullish crossover could develop if buying pressure persists. Key resistance levels to watch lie around 0.6200, while immediate support is near the recent swing low around 0.5900.

Final Words about AUD vs USD

Given the current technical backdrop, a near-term rebound for AUD vs USD seems possible, especially if the market perceives any upcoming US data or Fed official remarks as less hawkish. Nonetheless, traders should remain cautious, as any stronger-than-expected US inflation data could reignite dollar strength and pressure the Aussie further. On the Australian side, a hawkish tone from RBA Governor Michele Bullock might bolster the AUD, offsetting some downward risks. Keeping track of both nations’ economic calendars remains essential for timely decision-making. Overall, the pair retains a slightly bearish tilt, but short-term recoveries cannot be ruled out.