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October 16, 2024 in Forex News

GBP/AUD Outlook: Inflation Data and Economic Indicators in Focus

Introduction to GBP vs AUD

The GBP/AUD forex pair, commonly referred to as “The Pound Aussie,” combines the British Pound (GBP) and the Australian Dollar (AUD). This pair is known for its volatility due to the influence of both the UK and Australia’s economic landscapes, which are often affected by commodities and macroeconomic policies. Understanding this pair’s price movements helps traders make better decisions, as they balance geopolitical and economic events across both nations.


GBPAUD Market Overview

The GBP/AUD fundamental analysis tells us that the Pound Aussie is experiencing a tug-of-war between the UK’s inflation data and Australia’s economic indicators. The upcoming UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports, expected on November 20, 2024, will give traders insight into how inflation is affecting the Pound. A higher-than-forecast CPI reading could drive expectations of a Bank of England interest rate hike, strengthening GBP. Meanwhile, the Australian economy, reflected through the Melbourne Institute’s upcoming Westpac Leading Index on November 19, 2024, may indicate changes in the economic direction for AUD. Both economies are at crucial junctures, with the GBP benefiting from inflationary pressures, while the AUD might see reactions to broader economic indicators and commodity market fluctuations. Recent GBPAUD market movements reflect uncertainty, with traders awaiting clearer signals from both sides.


GBP/AUD market overview


GBP-AUD Technical Analysis

The GBP/AUD technical analysis shows the pair trading around the 1.9500 level, with resistance looming around 1.9600 and support at 1.9200. The Parabolic SAR is currently positioned above the price, indicating a potential bearish trend in the short term. Additionally, the Stochastic RSI is hovering around the 80 level, which is typically a sign of overbought conditions. This signals that a downward correction may be on the horizon as the Stochastic RSI turns downward from these overbought levels. The pair’s price action has been choppy, showing strong upward movements followed by equally sharp declines, reflecting the ongoing uncertainty in the pair.


Final Words about GBP-AUD

In summary, the GBPAUD forecast shows it as being at a critical juncture, with the GBP side influenced by inflation and potential central bank actions, while the AUD remains reactive to domestic economic conditions and global commodity prices. As the UK prepares for key inflation data, traders should remain vigilant for shifts in the pair’s sentiment, particularly around the 1.9500 mark. Should economic data exceed expectations for GBP, we could see the pair testing higher resistance levels; however, any signs of weakening could push lower toward the support region. For now, caution is key, and traders must keep an eye on both the pair’s technical indicators and its upcoming fundamental reports for clearer direction in the GBPAUD market.